October 11, 2007 at 9:00 am
In our post yesterday on the depressing questions Maria Bartiromo asked at this week’s Republican presidential candidate debate, reader Richard had an illuminating comment.
Here’s one Bartiromo question:
In a recent poll by the Wall Street Journal and NBC News, two-thirds of the American people said that we are either in a recession or headed toward one. Do you agree with that?
And here’s Richard’s reaction:
Since being in a recession is a factual matter, not one of opinion, and since the nation is NOT in a recession, she was essentially asking if the candidates agree that they don’t know what they are talking about.
Good point. I concur. It’s like asking candidates whether they agree that water is frozen. Either it’s 32 degrees, or it’s not.
Here’s the complete wording of that July poll question Bartiromo cited:
In terms of the country’s economic condition, which of the following statements comes closest to your point of view?
The country is currently in an economic recession and will come out of it in the next twelve months 11%
The country is currently in an economic recession and will continue to be in the next twelve months 35
The country is not currently in an economic recession but will be within the next twelve months 22
The country is not currently in an economic recession and will not be in the next twelve months 25
Not sure 7
There are other culprits. The American Research Group repeatedly polls this question:
Would you say that the national economy is in a recession or not?
You could ask whether you you expect a recession in the next year, or if the government is working to avoid a recession, or some similar formulation. And the answers would be enlightening and instructive. But a question on whether we are in a recession? Leave that to the experts.